Gary and Charlie Crist Kompothecras tag team effort and support HIPAA violations autism quackery in Florida

These funds crisis, which almost always means that many things happen that I write about and that the week after that I added (for example, next week) is usually something interesting happens to write about my posting on the left LOL cats or something like that. That as it may sometimes happen that what goads me to the point where I think, although the reality keeps me from my usual logorrhea. Who knows, maybe this is a good thing.
However, yesterday Brandon Thorp (who also works for JREF) Bullock teamed with Penn to write a disturbing report on how much political influence as well-known anti-vaccine activists and manage Florida pseudoscientists under Crist Gary sponsor Kompothecras bully Florida health officials. This is quite scary, as is Kompothecras physiotherapists with lots of money and a very strong anti-vaccination beliefs who do not hesitate to contact your cash and use of a dangerous agenda that could endanger children Pressure:
    "This madness has got to stop. No more double talk. This should be a relatively straightforward study. I feel that the hidden programs going on there and I'll stand by [and] let it continue that! I can not wait any longer, "reads an email on August 6 to the doctor the doctor Gary Kompothecras Julia Gill, director of the Florida Department of Health (DOH) Disease Control Division dated.
    Coming from anyone else, blustery threats may simply email was fired. But "Grey's doctor," as Kompothecras is known, self-styled "Rainmaker," Sarasota chiropractor who has more than one million dollars during the year for Senate candidate and soon introduced the former governor is Charlie Crist.

    So limited it to turn over when the man sometimes called lend Private jet to the governor using his political influence to try to bully Florida health officials to turn over a large number of state immunization records sealed. Especially when they're for the father and son team, doctor Mark and David Geier, notorious for injecting children with autism with Lupron, a chemical used drug for patients with prostate cancer and castrate pedophiles.
I am sure that regular readers of this blog are well aware that Geiers. I've been writing about them since 2006. In fact, they are father and son team of anti-vaccine "scientists", with Father Mark Geier is not a boy and being a real doctor. Both believe that vaccines cause autism and, in particular, the mercury in vaccines cause autism, they believe that so completely chelation therapy can treat or even "treat" autism (autism). They've been around for years in the making for antivax underground conference promoting the idea that they continue to work from the basement of Mark Geier also been appointed in his home in Silver Spring, doctor. Together, about five or six years ago, they fancied the idea, but the infamous mercury dangerous somehow connected to testosterone and keeps it from being chelated and removed. Solution? Chemical castration with drugs normally used to treat patients with precocious puberty and hormone-sensitive tumors such as prostate cancer and breast cancer. In fact, Lupron chemical castration. The closing production of sex hormones, either estradiol or testosterone in men and women. So, right off the bat is bullying Kompothecras health officials in Florida suport of quackery. And they may get their way:
    Well placed source within the state of Florida, who wanted to remain anonymous, claimed the governor is putting "political pressure" on the DOH to submit to demands Geiers ... Instead, senior DOH - "at - will" employees who can be fired without a stated reason - hoping to study booths Geiers' until a new government comes in Tallahassee, the source said: "This too no political will to approve the study, but no one wants. or to be fired. "
So apparently supported Governor Crist antivaccine pseudoscience as well. Either that, or he's just about the health of Florida's children is not important and so willing to turn over the records sealed to a few quacks to do a retrospective study because of fake pro-big money he wants to. According to the record Geiers', including the study undoubtedly another hunk JPANDS - is worthy of absolute nonsense, but no doubt they can use it to seed fear and doubts about the vaccine.
Worse, however, Kompothecras is trying to bully the Florida health officials are doing to serve HIPAA violations quackery antivaccine:

    In 2004, shortly before they begin to experience with Lupron, Geiers were conducting research at the Centers Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) headquarters when they caught the technical supervision of data manipulation and analysis conducted confidential Patients put at risk. Study terminated.
    Like their Florida study suggested, through research involving immunization record elk in hope of finding the relationship between vaccines and autism. But unlike the CDC files, information Geiers Florida to study for their patients and address containing social security numbers.
And:

    This strange behavior, almost fantastic, so, given that access to medical records are confidential Florida points, right, for the researcher. Those seeking access to such records DOH general approach as supplicants seeking favor.
What it should be, according to the privacy concerns are. Turning to the case will be Geiers atrocities against the patient's right to privacy of the potential windfall to counsel. Remember, Geiers once before for trying to compromise patient privacy when examining the vaccine safety database file was expensive. When Kompothecras your good claims records for persons Mark and David Geier (who is opening a clinic in Florida, this way, children with autism is that individuals "protocol Lupron," they are really part of the franchise and a moderate repulsive), Florida health officials should be doing everything they can to stop him. When kompothecras complained, "This project is long over a year that the actions taken by Florida authorities seems that every single possible delay tactics are working to prevent the study from going forward."

Gary and Charlie Crist Kompothecras tag team video

Good! This is exactly what Florida health officials should be doing. Here's hoping they can run out of time to Crist leaves office. Here is hoping that the article also Bullock Thorp and helps provide health authorities with the coverage they need to continue to resist efforts by Crist in the light of day shine Crist willing to sacrifice the health of children in order to appease supporters of Florida highlights. Crist turning up the heat on blogging too may help. Pseudoscientists no regrets about using politics to override science and trying to get its way; Unfortunately, this means that science advocates are forced to respond.

Gary and Charlie Crist Kompothecras tag team video

Flightlessness in azhdarchids, marsupial brain and Marine desmostylians: SVPCA 2010

In a previous article on the 58th Symposium on vertebrate palaeontology and anatomy compared (SVPCA), held in Cambridge, England, I discussed some of the things in the shoot - tetrapods and Sarvpvdha presented.  

 

This time round, we look at the issues Mesozoic - pterosaurs particuteve Sweetman presented in the first outing the new maniraptoran miniscule theropods that he and I have been working see. When it is printed, nothing back to the same (huge exaggeration fully considered: Steve was discussed further with salamanders, anurans and lizards I) is. After mentioning lepidosaurs, Neil Curtis (et) and Mark Jones (et) analysis of some major functions in Sphenodon skull is presented.

Mesozoic marine reptiles was fantastic, not well shown, but the new Mark Evans and look at Roger Benson Lias plesiosaurian Variety was pretty neat: Here was yet another study showed that diversity was higher Lias plesiosaurian previously thought. It seems that hawkinsi Thalassiodracon not, after all, just ordinary small community plesiosaurian Lias. Mark Purnell and Roderick Best microtextural analysis method shows great Simolestes pliosaur was likely a cephalopod expert as has been suggested, but it was very different from the diet is Liopleurodon.

Morganucodontids, spinosaurids Australia, hindlimb ornithischian and pelvic muscles and distribution pneumaticity Association talks on forming other Mesozoic theropods. Michael Pittman, showing the morphological changes that occurred during the evolution maniraptoran as shape and flexibility of the door has changed. David Norman comments on the classification discussed iguanodontian Great Britain: he will accept credit Mantellisaurus, but not to distinguish Dollodon [adjacent reconstruction Mantellisaurus by Steveoc86, Wikipedia]. Moreover, he emphasized his opinion that the old cry iguanodontian Quarry is referable to dawsoni Barilium (Norman 2010). I find this hard to believe because (despite the extensive reconstruction of the right ilium) is a former exotic indirect dorsal iliac margin that makes it look quite different from B. Ilium dawsoni holotype (There are other differences - such as longer nervous.

Overhang at the Old Quarry Sample cry - but it is not clear how significant they are Norman says margins indirect iliac due to changes after death Figure [UPDATE: I'm going to backtrack here, new observations me think that he is. right]). Anyway, what with the recent naming of Owenodon and Kukufeldia, it is clear that once lamented the state of wastebasket sensu lato Iguanodon (Naish and Martill 2008) is finally settled. What is a sustainable material for something like 30 million years at least five turns to 'sex' distinct, none of which around for more than five million years was meant to. Meanwhile, 

 

the old cry of Quarry iguanodontian special interest (to me) because it alleged links Piltdown hoaxFew SVPCA negotiations in pterosaurs may have given very recent predictions Flugsaurier 2010: Third International Symposium Pterosaurs meeting in Beijing, But there was one or two verses, however.

 

Dave Unwin discussion was too incredible: a new sample is Darwinopterus in direct contact with eggs (eggs are placed as if just emerging from the pelvis, an event that almost certainly happened after death) is preserved. No cranial crest Darwinopterus samples concerned (unlike others of the same species), allows us to conclusions about sexual dimorphism confidence in pterosaurs (and other?). At this stage, I urge to say any more resistance.

Colin Palmer very interesting speech about the status of flight wings pterosaur. According to the center position, he had to get flying pterosaurs to hold their wings in a state of 'swept forward, quite different from those traditionally thought to be. Now I doubt, because it can create a very 'point' - the tip of the wing somewhat different from what appears to maintain the soft tissue is present. But let us not forget that all pterosaurs are the same, and what might ornithocheirids asks for, say, or necessarily followed rhamphorhynchids anurognathids or whatever.lar - before pterosaurs Cenozoic mammals.Azhdarchid all the rage these days, ever since Witton and Naish that children who reported excellent article (Witton and Naish 2008) [one of the many newspaper articles shown in the picture above: looking for typos. Directly above - adapted version of the piece Mark Witton - the Paleochick 's vote]. 

 

terrestriality strong inference of azhdarchids, along with more realistic mass estimate that currently around (Witton 2008) kicking, means that the possibility flightlessness azhdarchid on a few occasions recently speculated. While Witton (and Naish) to win the masses for large azhdarchids 250 kg or so, Don Henderson recently proposed c. 540 kg for northropi Quetzalcoatlus, and therefore proposed that the flight might have been northropi Q (Henderson 2010). This was the subject of debate. I think it's good to see someone else who absurdly low critical mass that the pterosaurs traditionally large and small will be given. According to 70 kilograms as seems likely to Quetzalcoatlus by many writers considered, Don said: "I would love to know what they are smoking" While many of us tend to assume that for azhdarchids flightlessness with what we know of in contrast to the skeleton, the fact remains that a very weak Q northropi known, perhaps allowing it to reduce the possibility of the wings. However, the overall robustness and muscle attachment sites are the humerus, I think, still shows the ability to fly. I also think that c.. 540 kg mass estimate is too high: Don your computing model is based on the incorrect form, but he knows it to test things further. We may come back to this issue are againWhere desmostylians

Flightlessness in azhdarchids

Negotiations, including those in the Cenozoic mammal rodent skull anatomy, diversity Oligocene sirenian and mechanics of swallowing - Nutrition in mysticetes.
Vera Weisbecker (with Anjali Goswami) looked at brain size across the marsupials and placentals: comparison convincingly show that marsupials are not always smaller than the brain as placentals. The idea that their results: the skewing by mammals. Interestingly, brain size is a marsupial with BMR (in contrast to placentals) but seems not more to do with breastfeeding has increased. It (a look at brain size and development in birds too) recently published in PNASDesmostylians - Department of neat and exotic mammals afrotherian really should cover the Tet Zoo some time - were Hayashi et Shvjy subject. Download talk. As everyone knows, lifestyle, diet and even appeared desmostylians been controversial. In one extreme, some writers as they foraged on the shores of the land quadrupeds exposure is to be interpreted. In another, some of them as animals such as marine pinniped that only land for rest and basking visits be considered. Thin sections and CT scans of the ribs and limb bones of different taxa desmostylian shows that they all are not alike: some exhibited osteosclerosis or pachy - osteosclerosis and probably in shallow water static thrust Mottaki, while one (Desmostylus) exhibited bone osteoporosis and likely dynamic thrust deep water is used. Desmostylus result may have been marine, deep-water animals, compared with other taxa (though it's only fair to remember here is that in contrast to the results of isotope analysis:. Clementz et al (2003)). Oh, and if you want to know the story behind the cartoon character used in the Orange High, I recommend you see this article in Amniote blue. 

Flightlessness in azhdarchids-2

So that was neat. Loads more has happened and I talk about it, but as the time factor is real. I hope you enjoyed this quick look at (some) edited highlights. If you want to know more, online summary of the meeting here SVPCA. Oh, and those of you already seen the second picture want to know what all the gawping .. Well, here is the answer. John Conway at the scene Jehol biota Zoom.

Political ethics and psychology: Welcome Post

As a moral psychology researcher, I was very excited when Jason wrote that his posts this week would cover moral psychology, and I have enjoyed his previous posts concerning the evolution of morality and the fact that even small children have a sense of morality. But what exactly does this
sense of morality involve?

Jason quoted Jon Haidt in an earlier post, who suggested that a comprehensive moral psychology must study the full array of psychological mechanisms that are "active in the moral lives of people of diverse cultures.

A few years ago, I was fortunate to catch a talk by Jon Haidt at the Gallup Positive Psychology Summit where he gave a wonderful talk about moral foundation theory, which seeks to determine the fundamental systems of morality.

I sought to use his scale in my work and using that scale eventually grew into our current collaboration (along with Jesse Graham, Pete Ditto, and Sena Koleva) at YourMorals.org, where the main instrument used in moral foundation theory, the moral foundations questionnaire, is available.

The moral foundations questionnaire measures five foundations. The following descriptions are taken from the moral foundations theory webpage where "the theory proposes that five innate and universally available psychological systems are the foundations of "intuitive ethics." Each culture then constructs virtues, narratives, and institutions on top of these foundations, thereby creating the unique moralities we see around the world, and conflicting within nations too."

    1) Harm/care, related to our long evolution as mammals with attachment systems and an ability to feel (and dislike) the pain of others. This foundation underlies virtues of kindness, gentleness, and nurturance.

    2) Fairness/reciprocity, related to the evolutionary process of reciprocal altruism. This foundation generates ideas of justice, rights, and autonomy.

    3) Ingroup/loyalty, related to our long history as tribal creatures able to form shifting coalitions. This foundation underlies virtues of patriotism and self-sacrifice for the group. It is active anytime people feel that it's "one for all, and all for one."

    4) Authority/respect, shaped by our long primate history of hierarchical social interactions. This foundation underlies virtues of leadership and followership, including deference to legitimate authority and respect for traditions.

    5) Purity/sanctity, shaped by the psychology of disgust and contamination. This foundation underlies religious notions of striving to live in an elevated, less carnal, more noble way. It underlies the widespread idea that the body is a temple which can be desecrated by immoral activities and contaminants (an idea not unique to religious
    traditions).

The central finding of Moral Foundations theory to date is the split between what liberals and conservatives report caring about. Specifically, Liberals care more exclusively about issues concerning harm and fairness, while conservatives also care about issues surrounding obeying rightful authority, being loyal to one's ingroup, and avoiding "unnatural" violations of one's purity.

How can we tell if this finding is robust? All web servers keep track of referring traffic and so we can analyze the data we collect at YourMorals.org by the source of the incoming traffic. If the pattern holds among people who read the New York Times, people who come from conservative blogs (a minority, but there are some), people who read the Houston Chronicle, people who find the site by typing 'morality quiz' into a search engine, and people who read Libertarian magazines...then it is likely that the pattern is somewhat robust.

Of course, these patterns are all among internet samples, so it would be fair to say that if this pattern of liberal-conservative differences holds among all these groups, then it is fairly robust amongst the type of people who use the internet to read about news or politics.

Political and psychology video

Below are graphs containing real data, across many of these groups. You'll see the same pattern where as you move from liberal to conservative, the exclusivity of concern about issues of harm and fairness reduces.Jason's note: as the lines move from left to right (liberal to conservative), notice that the harm and fairness constructs are rated as more important for liberals than ingroup, authority, and purity, while this separation is not observed for conservatives.

So far, we have promoted this research as a way to bridge group differences through our work at civilpolitics.org and through press and media such as the following talk. Perhaps understanding other group's morality could encourage us to villainize less those with whom we disagree
The Thoughtful Animal

Jason's note: as the lines move from left to right (liberal to conservative), notice that the harm and fairness constructs are rated as more important for liberals than ingroup, authority, and purity, while this separation is not observed for conservatives.

So far, we have promoted this research as a way to bridge group differences through our work at civilpolitics.org and through press and media such as the following talk. Perhaps understanding other group's morality could encourage us to villainize less those with whom we disagree.


We believe that moral foundations theory is a great start on mapping the moral realm, including conservative moral ideas that appear underrepresented in academic psychology. However, we realize that this is just a start and are actively seeking new moral systems that may be distinct (from the ones discussed above). I proposed some ideas and Jon Haidt held a competition recently to discover a sixth foundation. We'd welcome your ideas and comments. One of the wonderful things about using the internet in our research is that we end up with ideas from beyond the limited group of people in academia.

Political and psychology video -2

With the recent focus on "liberty" in political discourse and the rise of the tea party, one foundation which we are certain to add in the next version of moral foundations theory is the idea of freedom/liberty. We are also working to revise the fairness foundation to include conservative ideas of fairness, such as proportionality/equity (as opposed to equality/social justice). We recently submitted a paper on libertarian morality, who focus on liberty as a moral principle, and you can read more about it here.

Watch your language, young lady!

We often Pharyngula statements are opinions of those who cesspool, that I need to moderate more extreme language that people use profanity even in their discussions and ... You know, I just roll my eyes and ignore this stupid bluenoses and their prissy airs. We adults here. My playground is a monitor. I have more of a distracted barkeep.
But I also think that all those critics wrong. They tend to speak a few words and four angry that some of our exhibition, and ignore the content focus.

And the content of the message that matters. I only talk the language of the actual problem of the right wingers did, and I think everything in perspective offers.
Here's an example of disgusting Ann Coulter. Now every time that Coulter has been brought up here, there will always be some pitiful made jokes about how he died, his Adam's apple, stupid issues like that, but I also can always rely on the commentariat here with the floor handling it promptly. .

She is a woman, well? Tall, slender woman, and physically unattractive she is (psychologically, though, he horrors), and it hurts him to have sex with him targeted. But guess what? Ann Coulter does not mind doing a little of his own format.
    I girl allies stick out like a thumb, the pain of corn feed, fiber, no makeup, natural, no bra, need, sandals, wearing, hirsute, somewhat fragrant hippie chick pie wagons they "women" at the Democratic Convention National.

Watch your language video

Note that he used no profanity, each word that you can independently scrutinize and find out what a good Christian can object. And put them all together, though, and what you are far nastier than ugly things said here.

Watch your language video-2

I do not intend to impose censorship on Pharyngula until I can trust us commenters here of this kind of prejudice.

Back to School Month: Peak Oil 101

Every so often someone comes to me with fiery eyes and eager for battle and says: "I do not believe in Peak Oil" or "I do not believe in climate change." When this happens, I think they expect me to argue with them, and me. But their reasoning is not expected - "Yes, you, in fact, believe in them" my standard response, almost 100% correct about the time for peak oil or climate change, but not argue

Telling other people what they believe business casual, but I feel reasonably confident in doing this, because when someone says that they are in oil or climate change do not believe they peak, really means. In fact, I actually want to save me a chance that you and I agree on 98% of peak oil - no matter how you think we do not, no matter who you are.

Exception of a few flat earthers who deny there was ever ice age or more non-animal oil wackaloons, everyone believes in peak oil and climate change. What they really want to prove, but difficult to do, is that they are with me about immediacy of peak oil disagree, or about the human role in climate change. The sign of our collective scientific illiteracy and an order that people can passionately held opinions and not the slightest idea how to explain their views - or what is actually shown.

I am quite certain that you believe in peak oil. Because I am sure that peak oil is something that everyone is drawn from their behinds - it is a fact readily visible. America's oil production, consider: Looky, peak! It rises, it reaches a climax, it goes down. And if you really needed me to do so, I can put up charts for the 15 or so other countries that look strangely like a peak. It is known that oil production is almost always under the bell curve. And it also turns out that when you have passed the peak, no matter how better technologies to get, you can not actually reverse peak. Nothing is ever that America is done in mining technology that has made happen.

So yes, you believe that oil production occurs in a curve, which means it will be, or peak or plateau. See, we agree!
And you agree with me that we used unsustainably oil and that we are facing with a peak. I'm pretty sure that, because it is an incontrovertible fact that the physical there is no real debate.Even you think future predictions to discover completely unreasonable (though you'd like a discussion Well why they should seem more), you can pretty easily see the physical facts and see us not as the discovery of oil there that we used while we're used to taking over. So you and I agree with you that we use energy unsustainably, we're going to hit peak, and supply factors for the crisis. Even if you hear every day about new discoveries and accessories, we disagree that we discovered enough to fill the gap.

Now here is where we may disagree - I think there is good evidence that peak oil is likely short term. You may not. Or you may think that a lot of oil because we discovered is that we are not hard enough or hard enough for drilling.

And all of those things where possible place we can disagree - but our disagreements do not matter actually as far as you might think. You see, while I might think, looking at the data, we reached the oil plateau around 2005, and we declined, you may disagree, and argue that only one of natural fluctuations that goes with the oil. This approval - can be said that United States Geological Survey figures, for example, oil peaks around 2023 has made more acceptable than I use. But I want to in the conceed. Now do not get me wrong, I still think we're on the shelf, but let's say you are right and use your circumstances. 2023 as we use our face.

In that case, you see, we have enough time for renewable resources got spent. Except this is not true. The only full-scale study ever on the subject by America launched Hirsch Report, commissioned United States Department of Energy and Energy scientists led by Robert Hirsch and Roger Bezdek. Department of Energy at the peak of oil just seriously enough to do some scenario planning, and asked what would happen if * Oil * peak was coming (it was not said.)

Hirsch and Bezdek, peak oilers were not at the time, began to shape, and they escape many of predictions. You can read the full report here: www.netl.doe.gov / publications / others / pdf / oil_peaking_netl.pdf. And what you can find the best scientific analysis of our oil in this peak shows that we have 20 years of World War II-style construction of renewable energy will open a smooth transition. With 10 years of it we can, but we do not want lack of abundant and economic consequences - we seriously be in trouble. With less than 10 years, we're screwed. Well, the report of this execution does use the word "screwed" but the principle of the thing.

Well, let's look at the figures USGS - we were 13 years until 2023. So even if we started World War II-style building tomorrow's resources, we have enough time for this to be done. We somewhere between "good" and "serious trouble" - though not "screwed" is not.

Back to School Month video

But we also did not give World War II-style construction of renewable energy. Nobody really even a suggestion seriously, much less put on the political field. Even if all the Democratic and Republican political leadership with both Thursday and decided to call for such a thing, we're still talking a while before it even starts. So let's say that we even a little closer, perhaps 11 or 12 years.
So even if the more conservative figure for the peak energy are correct, we both agree that we are facing a tough transition - the only time there is not enough. Unless you can assess as valid and said that we can find it right quick, we generally there will be problems of Peak Oil to agree.
But maybe you rely on new discoveries of oil make up the difference. Currently, our understanding by using four times as much oil we're discovering now. Many great discoveries on behalf of several months to several years worth of oil supply, and the majority of the world's oil fields are yet to be released a few giant.
So considering all these indisputable facts into account, and ask how likely is that we discover will be quadrupled. Let's see - it consistently over time has decreased, while the technology has actually improved. This indicates that probably the backward state of our geological map is not - despite the best mapping technologies, we not only find more oil.
Let's look at what was discovered. Most of it is one of two types of oil. The first is that oil is extremely difficult to get - in Deepwater Oil in the Gulf of Mexico. Children can not only lower than a mile below the ocean with practice, it is oil that costs a lot of money to produce, require expensive technologies, and as we have recently witnessed a lot environmental risks. 
Then the oil is very sensitive places like ANWR - even the highest estimates of only a few months worth of oil under this land use has. The fact that we are so desperate that we'd consider removing critical habitat for animals to change the bench too much shows - do you dig around to buy dinner at the couch, not go too short unless .
We agree, because there really is no scientific dispute that we are now, like the discovery of oil in our oil is discovered once. Way back in the day, you dig in the earth and the oil came from the emotions. Barring a terrible crash with a drilling platform, not feeling anything now. It takes a lot of work, lot of money and a lot of energy to get what we discovered.
Even when you do it a lot of risk - you can an accident or environmental disaster have, and had to leave or project. You can find that the estimates do not sound so great reservation and actually good to abandon. Oil prices can fluctuate so you may be able to pay it to develop - that was just when we were at risk of capping is gushers in Texas and Louisiana.
So we agree on all these issues - we agree that:
1. Peak Oil actually prove
2. We are creating the right conditions for peak oil than we consume and use of oil discovery in a way that depletes supply.
3. Opportunity that we are facing at least some problems of Peak Oil Imminent, what is the climax tomorrow or the use of estimates that we are more conservative. Our long effort to make out a very strong renewable energy for oil enough distance to cover if possible and take time there.
4. We can not rely on the discovery of new sources of oil giant - in fact, a lot left to discover oil in the ground a very good reason - and it is risky, expensive and / or environmental damage extracts.
Many agreed that the territory - but again, there really was not considered credible on these issues. So what we have left to fight over?
Well, you can further estimates * Conservative argue and say that we actually have 20 or more years before Peak Oil exists. But remember, we only need 20 years, we have 20 years of the Second World War style investing. Well, in World War II, as parents and your grandparents can tell you - or perhaps you remember - everything was really different. We made all those bombers and win the war by a set of strategies was very severe. Everyone had a quota. Everyone had to do war work. Half the population was in the military and other factories. Niels Bohr said the famous: they can not Manhattan Project unless the nation became all the factory - and then two years later observed that it had been.
Does this sound like our country now? All that without an absolute party unity and commitment to the cause be single? All that self-sacrifice and investment - even the savings of people around the country to be used to form bonds that war. Was done recently?
So I think we can agree that it to more than 20 years, right? Since we are not doing World War II-style building out. So let's call it 30 years on our normal rate, with the market driving things. But if that is true, you want to find it harder to get someone for you to predict when a peak oil is coming that you'd give me. This means that peak oil could not be sooner than 2041. In 2008, a survey of oil industry indicated that over half of geologists and analysts working in the field believe that we faced, short-term peak in energy. So peak oil is now mainstream belief, and most of the short term you can, it is harder to find someone who agrees with you.
Yhere predicted by almost no * reliable that anyone going out that far - even Saudi Arabia would like to have doubled their reserves on paper really claim that peak oil as in not as occur in late 2041. EIA International Energy Agency and will not that far. The vast majority of petroleum geologists, country, oil industry execs, analysts and everyone else thinks that long before 2041. Science is not here with you.
So we agree about the oil peak is going on about some of the problems - do not seem to be good any way around that, unless someone found a magic bullet. But so far, no one. Solar and wind are great, including - but they had enough energy to us that they can magic up process is fast. It usually about 30 years, history shows, really bringing new technologies to make full use shared - 30 years of development. But we already seen that 30 years is pushing it, and there is no clear magic bullet. 

Back to School Month video-ii

But wait - maybe you think we do not need oil at all - we can just make up the other energy sources. Do not we in Saudi Arabia of coal? (And may I just why we want every transaction to be from Saudi Arabia to ask anything? Plaudits talk about depressing!)
Well, we have a bunch of coal, but that brings us to climate change, which you also believe, trust me (though I save that for another day.) It turns out we can all coal, even if we do not burn enough - and somepeople argue that our Saudi Arabia of coal types, and in fact just as the oil reserves of Saudi Arabia known as the wind itself, we the same with coal. But even ignoring that, we do not use coal. And no one argues valid already enough natural gas to replace oil and coal all. Or even all the oil.
So our conclusion - we're going to some of the problems of peak oil. And you and I, we disagree about this - we reasonable people, we can disagree, but we do not.
So that leaves us to know what it is that we may disagree on, and may - I may be overreacting to the peak oil as a problem. Sure, it is possible recession as Hersh reports says: why, sure it might be a little difficult, because the gas lines again, etc. .. But it is a big deal I say. What can I say it.
Good.
I mean, my response is that "good." I wish to confirm that a possibility, and one is real. Maybe it as bad as I think it is not - perhaps the peak of renewable and can be made faster. I want to say we do not know for sure.
But if I do this, I want you to make sure that you can not consider. Like the prudent thing to do seems to be, considering all the bad things that can lead. So let's agree to disagree here - but also to each other seriously.
And here is the critical point - as long as we agree to disagree, it means that we can together to strategize on what to do. And the best thing to do is to say: "Well, we met in the middle, so the best strategies for how to be good no matter which of us are right?"
And it turns out that it is very clear strategy - it makes sense to prepare for worse results, even if you think I'm wrong, because the consequences of not supplying them, is so serious . And it makes sense to bring to shore up support for poor and vulnerable, because we know even a little slowdown can actually hurt them. And it makes sense to help people maintain, because the cheap and easy. And it makes sense that World War II-style building to get out, just in case.
See? It is known that you and I am not opposed to all that much after all. In fact, I think we got it a lot in common